Enterprise, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

217
FXUS62 KTAE 250546
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
146 AM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 818 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025

No significant changes to the previous forecast appear necessary.
Scattered afternoon thunderstorms will continue to diminish through
the evening hours with mainly dry conditions prevailing overnight.
Areas of fog are still expected to develop early Friday morning.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Friday)
Issued at 242 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Rain chances for this afternoon (30-60%) remain concentrated along
the northern portions of our CWA, particularly SW GA, as a decaying
frontal boundary to our north and diurnal heating may provide the
initiation necessary for isolated to scattered thunderstorms.
Current modeled soundings in ABY indicate elevated DCAPE (800-1000
J/kg) and moderate instability, meaning that if more intense storms
form, they could produce gusty winds and/or hail.

Moving into tonight, overnight lows over are expected to slide into
the low-to-mid 60s. Additionally, there is a potential for areas of
fog to develop overnight, with fog forming along the Florida
panhandle and expanding into SE AL before dissipating by mid-morning
Friday. Throughout Friday, daytime highs will rise into the upper
80s in inland locations, with sea breezes keeping coastal locations
relatively cooler.

&&

.SHORT TERM & LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 242 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Ridging moves overhead Saturday, which will keep our weather
mostly dry across the area. An isolated shower or storm can`t be
ruled out across the northern fringes of the area as weak
perturbations traverse the northern side of the ridge. A weak cold
front moves into the area Sunday as the ridge breaks down. This
front will collide with the afternoon sea breeze, sparking at
least scattered showers and storms. Have raised rain chances a
fair bit for Sunday afternoon given the extra convergence and
consequent lift. Can`t rule out that a couple storms become strong
Sunday afternoon given the high amount of DCAPE that will be
present thanks to some mid-level dry air and inverted-V soundings.
This could lead to some strong, gusty winds in the strongest
storms. Outside of storms, it will be hot with highs in the upper
80s to lower 90s. Some pockets of mid-90s are possible as well for
areas that stay dry, especially in the inland parts of the
Panhandle and Big Bend. Given that this is the hottest weather so
far this year, please take it easy if you`re outdoors this
weekend. Stay hydrated and stay in the shade. Lows will be in the
60s.

The front exits our area on Monday with still a lingering chance
for scattered showers and storms in the Big Bend and I-75
corridor. Otherwise, dry weather returns next week as large scale
ridging takes hold. Highs will remain quite warm with highs in the
upper 80s to near 90 with lows in the 60s.


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 141 AM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025

Main focus for the rest of tonight into early this morning are
fog/low stratus. Highest confidence in flt restrictions are at ECP
where vsbys/cigs dip into the IFR/LIFR range. The next best
potential is DHN/ABY for MVFR conds. There is a chance that VLD
sees brief low vsbys from the east. Otherwise, lgt/vrb winds
prevail before picking up out of the S-to-SW in the aftn. Added a
PROB30 for -TSRA at DHN/ABY near the end of this TAF to acct for
isolated convection invof of those sites based on the 0Z HRRR.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 242 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Tranquil boating conditions will continue for the next several
days. Generally light southerly winds will continue through
Saturday before a weak cold front moves into the area Sunday and
Monday. Winds will clock around as the front passes and become
variable early next week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 242 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025

The main fire highlights are daily chances for morning fog, high
afternoon dispersions, and isolated thunderstorms. For this
afternoon and evening, convection capable of gusty/erratic winds
looks to develop, then cluster mainly over SW GA and SE AL.

Rain chances diminish Friday-Saturday before modestly increasing
early next week as a backdoor front slips south into the region
while interacting with the Gulf & Atlantic seabreezes. High
afternoon dispersions are expected across the Wiregrass on Friday,
then focus primarily over SW GA on Saturday. Relative humidity
decreases during that time to the upper 30s/low 40s away from the
coast.

Lastly, prescribed burners should prepare for unseasonably hot
conditions this weekend as high temperatures soar into the upper
80s/low 90s.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 242 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Rainfall totals will be generally light with only isolated
downpours expected. Flooding is not anticipated over the next
week.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   64  90  65  92 /   0  10   0  30
Panama City   65  84  67  86 /   0   0   0  20
Dothan        63  90  65  90 /  10  10  10  20
Albany        65  89  65  89 /  10  10  10  20
Valdosta      65  91  67  92 /  10  10  10  30
Cross City    62  88  62  91 /   0   0   0  20
Apalachicola  65  80  66  83 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 3 AM CDT early this morning for
     FLZ108.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Oliver
SHORT TERM...Young
LONG TERM....Young
AVIATION...IG3
MARINE...Young
FIRE WEATHER...Oliver
HYDROLOGY...Young